Mailbag: How damaging were injuries?
Hi, what are your thoughts on Kyle Sleeth? Will we see him in Detroit any time soon? He has impressive college stats, and I'd hate to see this guy go down the tube. Thanks.-- Tim
Sleeth underwent Tommy John surgery last summer and isn't expected to be ready until sometime during the 2006 season. It's hard to tell his future until he pitches again, but it's safe to say he won't be in the Majors until 2007 at the very earliest. With that operation, it usually takes pitchers around 18 months from surgery before they can throw at full velocity and command. Plus, the Tigers are usually cautious with starting pitchers coming back from surgery. And with Justin Verlander and Joel Zumaya knocking on the door of the big leagues, they're not likely to need Sleeth in the Majors in the near future.
Jason, I'm sick and tired of hearing that injuries are part of the game. Of course they are a part of the game, but they are a much better excuse for a team underachieving than most reporters and fans give credit. I don't know why Alan Trammell was fired, but if not for all of their acute injuries, the Tigers would have shown progress. GM Dave Dombrowski would have been hard-pressed to fire Trammell under those circumstances. Don't you think injuries can be devastating to a small- or middle-market team? They are at a huge disadvantage when trying to replace their damaged higher-priced players. Don't you think? Thanks.-- Searching for reality in Virginia
Yes, injuries can have a drastic effect on a team. To an extent, they're an expected part of the game, especially when a team such as this one has several players with a history of injuries. They become an issue when the injuries are in abundance and happen to significant players. In the Tigers' case, injuries were part of the reason only four players finished the season with more than 500 plate appearances for the club, not including Placido Polanco's half-season in Philadelphia. One of those four, Ivan Rodriguez, played through several injuries on his way to a subpar season offensively. Another standout player, Jeremy Bonderman, wasn't the same down the stretch while dealing with a sore elbow.
Bring back even a couple of players at full health and, yes, the Tigers would've been a better team than they ended up being. Would they have been good enough to save Trammell's managerial job? Perhaps, but not for certain. Carlos Guillen went from an All-Star season in which he accounted for 22 Win Shares in 2004, according to the Bill James Handbook, to just eight Win Shares this past season. However, to use another example, Rondell White's Win Shares actually increased, from 11 in 2004 to 12 in 2005, despite 24 fewer games played and 74 fewer at-bats. I think they would've finished fourth in the division regardless, but they would've been closer to .500.
Hi, Jason. Is there any chance the Tigers could sign a free agent such as A.J. Burnett or Kevin Millwood and then in addition to that trade for Javier Vazquez or Carl Pavano? I think we need to do that in order to really contend based upon the White Sox rotation. Plus, Cleveland won 93 games, and we still can't pass the Twins. I heard before that we may trade Mike Maroth or Nate Robertson. Now, that's the big three? Bonderman, Maroth and Robertson?
Seems like our pitching is good for the first 80-90 games and then they really peter out, so to speak. How come I don't see that happening with other teams? I think it's happened the past two years for us. Do you know why?-- Mike
The Tigers' plan all offseason has been to add one veteran starter through trade or free agency. Considering the cost of acquiring pitchers through either method, I don't see them doing both. Assuming the Tigers add a starter, he'd be one of the top three alongside Bonderman and Maroth, with Robertson and one of the youngsters rounding out the rotation. So no, Maroth, Bonderman and Robertson aren't the big three, but they're the young core around which Detroit is building its rotation for next year.
Getting Burnett and Pavano both would be great, no question, but the chase for Burnett and Millwood has already shown how many teams are on the market for pitching and how inflated the market is going to be. What made the White Sox rotation reconstruction work last year was that they were able to acquire Freddy Garcia, Jose Conteras and Orlando Hernandez without having to overpay or mortgage their farm system. I don't think you'll see that happen this year. The Red Sox had to give up two top youngsters in the Josh Beckett trade, and that was a unique situation given that the Marlins were set on dealing him.
I want your honest thoughts about Carlos Pena. Does he have a future in Detroit? He's a left-handed power hitter who plays a great defensive first base. When Carlos is swinging a good bat, he's impressive. Currently, he leads all Tigers for career homers at Comerica Park. Can new hitting coach Don Slaught work to improve his plate discipline and working into hitters' counts? We need left-handed power, and there isn't much in the free agent market and I'd rather spend money on pitchers. Will Pena remain wearing the English 'D'?-- Patrick D.
Of all the first basemen the Tigers have, Pena is the most likely to go. He's been passed by Chris Shelton as the starting first baseman, he isn't anchored to a contract like Dmitri Young and he seems to have the most to benefit from a change of scenery and a chance at more regular at-bats. It's hard to say whether Slaught could make him a disciplined hitter, because Slaught doesn't have a track record as a hitting coach. However, Slaught's focus is on putting hitters in a position to make a good swing. That could help, though in the end Pena's pitch recognition is key.
Jason, does a full 40-man roster mean that the Tigers cannot select players in the Rule 5 Draft in December? Could the Tigers drop or release a player before the draft in order to select someone they might like? It seems like a great opportunity to select a young bullpen arm for the future, plus, it's something that Dombrowski is good at.-- Eric
The Tigers can make moves between now and the Winter Meetings to open up some room on the 40-man roster. Given the emphasis they've placed on winning now, though, I'm not anticipating them drafting anyone unless they feel like they can contribute immediately.
Source: http://detroit.tigers.mlb.com/